February 13 seeding update

A few changes from yesterday:

• I shifted Michigan to the top of the #3 seeds.  If you look at their games against the RPI top 50, 7 were road games, 1 neutral, and only 2 home.  Iowa State, though they beat Michigan at home, has only one road win against a somewhat solid tournament team, Oklahoma State, who is currently doing their best to get to the NIT.  Wisconsin and Michigan have similar profiles right down to their worst losses, but Michigan's road success plus their win at the Kohl Center gives Michigan the edge here (at least until Sunday's rematch).
• Oklahoma drops with a bad loss to Texas Tech
• LSU is out, again, with a loss to Texas A&M.
• GW slips with a loss to VCU.
• Stanford is now just above the play-in spot after losing to Washington.
• UMass takes a big hit with a bad loss to George Mason.
• The bottom of the bubble is just awful.  I still don't like BYU's bad losses; Florida State and LSU keep losing; West Virginia has ten losses and two of them are bad ones. I'd put Harvard in as an at-large, but if they win out they get the autobid, and if they lose again they won't get the at-large anyway. I'm giving the spot to Missouri, but I don't feel good about it.

Seed bands for February 13:

#1: Arizona, Syracuse, Florida, Wichita St.
#2: Villanova, Kansas, Michigan St., Duke
#3: Wisconsin, Iowa St., Michigan, San Diego State
#4: Iowa, Cincinnati, Creighton, Texas
#5: Virginia, Kentucky, Louisville, Ohio State
#6: Pittsburgh, UCLA, Saint Louis, Oklahoma
#7: Memphis, Connecticut, Kansas St., North Carolina
#8: VCU, Gonzaga, New Mexico, Massachusetts
#9:   George Washington, Colorado, Southern Methodist, Oklahoma State
#10: California, Arizona St., Xavier, Minnesota
#11: Tennessee, Southern Miss., Richmond, Stanford
#12: St. Joseph's*, Oregon*,  Georgetown*, Missouri*, Toledo, North Dakota St.
#13: Belmont, Mercer, Delaware, Georgia State
#14: Green Bay, Stephen F. Austin, Vermont, Iona

#15:  UC Irvine, American, North Carolina Central, Utah Valley
#16: Robert Morris, Weber State, Yale*, Davidson*, Southern*, Coastal Carolina*

* Denotes teams in first-round (play-in) games