Thursday, March 13, 2014

Results from early Thursday games

The obvious big results are Villanova losing to Seton Hall and SMU losing to Houston.  Both are pretty bad losses, and both are going to drop the losers by a seed line or so.  The #1 seed in the East is now being contested by Villanova, Michigan, and Kansas in my estimation, and with Joel Embiid's injury, combined with Kansas' 8 losses, the last #1 seed should belong to Michigan if they win out.  Villanova should be a #2 seed at best now, as they only really have one signature win (over Kansas); they only have 4 other top 50 RPI wins, and those are all against teams in the 40s (Iowa, St. Joe's, and Xavier twice).  Of course, their other three losses are all to top 10 teams, but you can also say that they are 1-3 against the top 40 with a bad loss.  Should Wisconsin beat Michigan in the B1G tournament finals, which end just before the selection show, I could see the committee setting up a situation where the winner gets the last #1 seed and the loser gets the #2 seed in the midwest.

As for SMU, they will almost certainly be in the field, but this drops them perilously close to the play-in games.  Of course, most of those teams are going to be losing in the next couple of days, but this solidifies the Mustangs as a 10/11 seed.

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